cbb·system

Navy Midshipmen

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.16
PACE 58.63 possessions per game 5.48

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Navy AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 46.55 to 147.28 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014248 0.750

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNavy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-20 2014 Navy @ Old Dominion 60–68 other_postseason
2014-03-10 2014 Holy Cross @ Navy 75–56 conf_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 Lehigh @ Navy 54–84 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Navy @ Loyola Maryland 74–50 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Navy @ American University 50–63 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Holy Cross @ Navy 57–64 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Lehigh @ Navy 59–79 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Navy @ Colgate 76–47 regular
2014-02-12 2014 Bucknell @ Navy 61–70 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Navy @ Army 48–54 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Navy @ Boston University 68–57 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Lafayette @ Navy 70–69 regular
2014-01-30 2014 American University @ Navy 44–48 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Navy @ Holy Cross 60–53 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Navy @ Lehigh 73–61 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Colgate @ Navy 40–71 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Navy @ Bucknell 94–92 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Army @ Navy 64–74 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Boston University @ Navy 50–70 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Navy @ Lafayette 67–53 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Loyola Maryland @ Navy 44–67 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Navy @ Marshall 72–68 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Princeton @ Navy 73–57 regular
2013-12-04 2014 Mount St. Mary's @ Navy 55–63 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Rider @ Navy 64–75 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Brown @ Navy 61–81 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Navy @ Minnesota 55–62 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Navy @ Oral Roberts 89–64 regular
2013-11-20 2014 Navy @ Saint Peter's 70–51 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Iona @ Navy 64–61 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Stony Brook @ Navy 54–72 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Navy @ Towson 56–55 regular