cbb·system

Navy Midshipmen

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.72 possessions per game 4.80

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Navy AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 15.66 to 197.66 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020723 0.233

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNavy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-07 2020 Navy @ American University 53–63 conf_tournament
2020-03-05 2020 Navy @ American University 42–57 regular
2020-03-01 2020 Lafayette @ Navy 62–59 regular
2020-02-26 2020 Navy @ Loyola Maryland 54–64 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Navy @ Army 52–62 regular
2020-02-20 2020 American University @ Navy 48–40 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Navy @ Boston University 56–71 regular
2020-02-12 2020 Navy @ Bucknell 65–75 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Colgate @ Navy 65–53 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Loyola Maryland @ Navy 50–44 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Navy @ Holy Cross 43–57 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Army @ Navy 45–57 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Boston University @ Navy 41–46 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Navy @ Lafayette 52–79 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Lehigh @ Navy 60–53 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Navy @ Colgate 55–80 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Bucknell @ Navy 61–34 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Holy Cross @ Navy 58–49 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Navy @ Lehigh 40–70 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Navy @ Saint Joseph's 40–49 regular
2019-12-20 2020 George Mason @ Navy 67–58 regular
2019-12-04 2020 Navy @ Fairfield 52–66 regular
2019-12-01 2020 La Salle @ Navy 46–61 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Kennesaw State @ Navy 62–82 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Air Force @ Navy 59–67 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Navy @ Maine N 41–46 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Navy @ Vermont 56–64 regular
2019-11-12 2020 Navy @ North Carolina 40–80 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Navy @ Clemson 65–52 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Stevenson @ Navy 36–70 non_d1