cbb·system

Penn State Lady Lions

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.09 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.78 possessions per game 4.70

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.13 to 1.82 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191218 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-06 2019 Wisconsin @ Penn State N 65–57 conf_tournament
2019-03-02 2019 Nebraska @ Penn State 79–74 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Penn State @ Michigan State 48–57 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Penn State @ Illinois 76–65 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Purdue @ Penn State 61–72 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Penn State @ Minnesota 67–97 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Penn State @ Northwestern 63–78 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Michigan @ Penn State 66–62 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Penn State @ Ohio State 73–78 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Iowa @ Penn State 81–61 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Penn State @ Michigan State postponed regular
2019-01-27 2019 Rutgers @ Penn State 69–61 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Penn State @ Wisconsin 65–59 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Penn State @ Maryland 67–79 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Ohio State @ Penn State 76–71 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Illinois @ Penn State 48–62 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Penn State @ Rutgers 61–74 regular
2019-01-04 2019 Wisconsin @ Penn State 64–71 regular
2019-01-01 2019 Penn State @ Indiana 75–83 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Maryland @ Penn State 77–61 regular
2018-12-16 2019 American University @ Penn State 59–80 regular
2018-12-09 2019 St. Bonaventure @ Penn State 65–80 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Duquesne @ Penn State 64–58 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Jacksonville @ Penn State 61–80 regular
2018-11-30 2019 Penn State @ Florida State 58–87 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Stony Brook @ Penn State 81–70 regular
2018-11-21 2019 North Dakota @ Penn State 68–75 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Princeton @ Penn State 71–79 regular
2018-11-15 2019 Penn State @ Fordham 72–55 regular
2018-11-11 2019 California @ Penn State 75–58 regular
2018-11-09 2019 Providence @ Penn State 72–74 regular