cbb·system

Penn State Lady Lions

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 74.26 possessions per game 4.31

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.67 to 1.27 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020723 0.233

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-04 2020 Penn State @ Minnesota N 65–85 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Penn State @ Michigan State 80–99 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Michigan @ Penn State 80–66 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Penn State @ Iowa 57–100 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Maryland @ Penn State 106–69 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Penn State @ Nebraska 58–75 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Illinois @ Penn State 70–66 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Penn State @ Rutgers 39–72 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Northwestern @ Penn State 82–59 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Iowa @ Penn State 77–66 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Penn State @ Purdue 68–81 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Indiana @ Penn State 76–60 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Penn State @ Northwestern 59–85 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Rutgers @ Penn State 62–57 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Penn State @ Ohio State 70–80 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Michigan State @ Penn State 73–86 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Penn State @ Wisconsin 65–71 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Penn State @ Michigan 48–82 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Minnesota @ Penn State 81–74 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Sacred Heart @ Penn State 65–88 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Penn State @ Princeton 55–72 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Pittsburgh @ Penn State 73–78 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Penn State @ North Carolina Central N 92–68 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Penn State @ Long Beach State N 56–64 regular
2019-11-24 2020 George Mason @ Penn State 78–68 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Clemson @ Penn State 55–68 regular
2019-11-17 2020 La Salle @ Penn State 69–67 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Fordham @ Penn State 59–72 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Rider @ Penn State 78–70 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Penn State @ Towson 73–67 regular