Penn State Lady Lions
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.07 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.90 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.17 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 71.52 | possessions per game | 4.82 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 26 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.68 to 1.35 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 9 | 15 | 0.375 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Penn State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Penn State @ Michigan State N | 66–75 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Penn State @ Maryland | 61–88 | regular |
| 2021-03-02 | 2021 | Penn State @ Rutgers | 56–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Rutgers @ Penn State | 60–55 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | Ohio State @ Penn State | 67–69 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Penn State @ Nebraska | 72–87 | regular |
| 2021-02-18 | 2021 | Penn State @ Iowa | 78–96 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Penn State | 78–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-10 | 2021 | Penn State @ Indiana | 65–90 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Penn State | 74–98 | regular |
| 2021-02-04 | 2021 | Nebraska @ Penn State | 74–85 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Penn State @ Purdue | 80–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Penn State @ Illinois | 80–76 | regular |
| 2021-01-25 | 2021 | Minnesota @ Penn State | 85–76 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Penn State @ Rutgers | postponed | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Penn State | 67–50 | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Penn State @ Minnesota | 69–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-07 | 2021 | Indiana @ Penn State | 85–64 | regular |
| 2021-01-04 | 2021 | Penn State @ Ohio State | 69–82 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Maryland @ Penn State | 96–82 | regular |
| 2020-12-23 | 2021 | Penn State @ Michigan | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Purdue @ Penn State | 91–87 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Penn State @ Syracuse | 72–82 | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Rhode Island @ Penn State | 69–70 | regular |
| 2020-11-30 | 2021 | Saint Francis @ Penn State | 54–87 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Coppin State @ Penn State | 45–84 | regular |