cbb·system

Penn State Lady Lions

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.59 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 61.68 to 145.63 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-02 2023 Penn State @ Michigan N 61–63 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Penn State @ Minnesota N 72–67 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Michigan State @ Penn State 80–65 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Penn State @ Purdue 62–86 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Penn State @ Illinois 62–85 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Ohio State @ Penn State 67–55 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Penn State @ Michigan State 75–81 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Iowa @ Penn State 95–51 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Northwestern @ Penn State 64–74 regular
2023-01-30 2023 Penn State @ Maryland 66–87 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Penn State @ Rutgers 82–86 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Wisconsin @ Penn State 69–74 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Minnesota @ Penn State 75–67 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Penn State @ Iowa 67–108 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Penn State @ Nebraska 51–80 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Purdue @ Penn State 60–70 regular
2023-01-03 2023 Penn State @ Michigan 72–82 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Rutgers @ Penn State 72–90 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Cornell @ Penn State 48–79 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Penn State @ Drexel 82–86 regular
2022-12-11 2023 West Virginia @ Penn State 57–69 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Indiana @ Penn State 67–58 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Penn State @ Minnesota 96–98 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Virginia @ Penn State 89–68 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Penn State @ Fresno State N 68–49 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Toledo @ Penn State N 59–60 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Syracuse @ Penn State 69–82 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Bryant @ Penn State 33–96 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Youngstown State @ Penn State 63–77 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Fairfield @ Penn State 49–77 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Norfolk State @ Penn State 61–67 regular