cbb·system

Marshall Thundering Herd

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.98 possessions per game 4.28

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Marshall AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.32 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221221 0.364

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMarshall auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-10 2022 Marshall @ Louisiana Tech N 67–77 conf_tournament
2022-03-09 2022 Marshall @ Florida International N 74–62 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Marshall @ Western Kentucky 69–78 regular
2022-03-03 2022 Western Kentucky @ Marshall 86–72 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Marshall @ Middle Tennessee 65–74 regular
2022-02-22 2022 Marshall @ Southern Miss 74–60 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Charlotte @ Marshall 99–84 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Old Dominion @ Marshall 63–67 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Marshall @ UTEP 88–79 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Florida International @ Marshall 72–71 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Marshall @ Charlotte 64–88 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Marshall @ Old Dominion 64–79 regular
2022-01-30 2022 UAB @ Marshall 81–84 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 81–79 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Marshall @ Florida Atlantic 60–71 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Marshall @ Florida International 66–70 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Rice @ Marshall 87–77 regular
2022-01-14 2022 North Texas @ Marshall 69–65 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Florida Atlantic @ Marshall 90–77 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Marshall @ Southern Miss scheduled regular
2021-12-31 2022 Marshall @ Louisiana Tech 56–79 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Marshall @ Toledo 63–95 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Northern Iowa @ Marshall 75–60 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Marshall @ Ohio 65–75 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Marshall @ Eastern Kentucky 80–69 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Bluefield University @ Marshall 57–100 non_d1
2021-12-05 2022 Duquesne @ Marshall 71–72 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Marshall @ Akron 86–88 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Marshall @ Indiana 79–90 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Louisiana @ Marshall 79–93 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Jackson State @ Marshall 66–80 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Campbell @ Marshall 67–65 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Milligan @ Marshall 58–80 non_d1
2021-11-13 2022 Wright State @ Marshall 88–96 regular