cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.16
PACE 68.54 possessions per game 4.89

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Maine AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.76 to 1.56 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141715 0.531

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-23 2014 Maine @ Fairfield 50–63 other_postseason
2014-03-19 2014 Bucknell @ Maine 47–77 other_postseason
2014-03-08 2014 Hartford @ Maine N 63–62 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Maine @ New Hampshire 66–62 regular
2014-02-27 2014 UMass Lowell @ Maine 65–84 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Maine @ Stony Brook 65–73 regular
2014-02-16 2014 UAlbany @ Maine 58–56 regular
2014-02-12 2014 Maine @ Hartford 60–56 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Binghamton @ Maine 46–65 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Maine @ Vermont 69–52 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Maine @ UMBC 61–48 regular
2014-01-30 2014 New Hampshire @ Maine 74–73 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Stony Brook @ Maine 65–49 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Maine @ UMass Lowell 75–66 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Maine @ UAlbany 56–84 regular
2014-01-15 2014 Vermont @ Maine 62–92 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Maine @ Binghamton 64–51 regular
2014-01-09 2014 UMBC @ Maine 39–68 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Yale @ Maine 86–85 regular
2014-01-01 2014 Maine @ Green Bay 49–72 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Maine @ Sacred Heart 75–76 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Towson @ Maine 58–72 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Maine @ Northeastern 55–81 regular
2013-12-12 2014 Hartford @ Maine 66–56 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Fairfield @ Maine N 80–59 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Maine @ Brown 60–59 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Green Bay @ Maine 66–49 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Massachusetts @ Maine 56–86 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Maine @ Syracuse 42–97 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Maine @ LIU Brooklyn 66–50 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Bryant @ Maine 65–75 regular
2013-11-15 2014 North Dakota State @ Maine 59–64 regular