cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.76 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.86 possessions per game 4.65

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Maine AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.52 to 1.09 over 89 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015239 0.719

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-20 2015 Maine @ Villanova 60–71 other_postseason
2015-03-08 2015 Hartford @ Maine N 65–54 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Binghamton @ Maine N 71–78 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Maine @ New Hampshire 47–61 regular
2015-02-27 2015 UMBC @ Maine 41–61 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Maine @ Binghamton 70–56 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Maine @ Vermont 57–54 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Stony Brook @ Maine 49–57 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Maine @ UMass Lowell 74–46 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Hartford @ Maine 45–63 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Maine @ UAlbany 52–44 regular
2015-01-30 2015 New Hampshire @ Maine 56–87 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Maine @ UMBC 56–42 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Vermont @ Maine 46–74 regular
2015-01-19 2015 Binghamton @ Maine 48–70 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Maine @ Stony Brook 58–55 regular
2015-01-15 2015 UMass Lowell @ Maine 54–68 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Maine @ Hartford 68–57 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Maine @ Yale 55–57 regular
2015-01-03 2015 UAlbany @ Maine 49–43 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Maine @ William & Mary 54–51 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Maine @ North Carolina N 36–65 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Northeastern @ Maine 51–60 regular
2014-12-11 2015 Dartmouth @ Maine 38–53 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Harvard @ Maine 46–65 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Maine @ Central Connecticut 72–58 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Boston College @ Maine 64–69 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Brown @ Maine 53–58 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Sacred Heart @ Maine 59–58 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Maine @ Massachusetts 60–68 regular
2014-11-16 2015 LIU Brooklyn @ Maine 59–65 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Maine @ Bryant 52–65 regular