cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.28 possessions per game 5.10

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Maine AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.26 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20182310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-17 2018 Maine @ Texas N 54–83 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 Hartford @ Maine 65–74 conf_tournament
2018-03-04 2018 New Hampshire @ Maine N 48–64 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 UMBC @ Maine N 43–65 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 UAlbany @ Maine 69–74 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Maine @ Vermont 79–47 regular
2018-02-15 2018 UMass Lowell @ Maine 65–70 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Maine @ Stony Brook 68–76 regular
2018-02-09 2018 New Hampshire @ Maine 46–77 regular
2018-02-06 2018 Hartford @ Maine 56–59 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Maine @ Binghamton 61–38 regular
2018-01-31 2018 Maine @ UMass Lowell 69–51 regular
2018-01-28 2018 UMBC @ Maine 36–69 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Maine @ New Hampshire 56–46 regular
2018-01-19 2018 Maine @ Hartford 59–44 regular
2018-01-15 2018 Vermont @ Maine 55–64 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Maine @ UAlbany 54–68 regular
2018-01-10 2018 Maine @ UMBC 64–50 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Binghamton @ Maine 66–62 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Stony Brook @ Maine 56–64 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Maine @ Boston College 61–40 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Maine @ Duke 39–69 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Maine @ Mississippi State 43–83 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Maine @ Dartmouth 64–51 regular
2017-12-05 2018 Maine Maritime @ Maine 49–89 non_d1
2017-12-03 2018 Maine @ Ohio State 70–83 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Maine @ Toledo 64–65 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Maine @ Kennesaw State N 75–39 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Maine @ Miami 70–80 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Maine Fort Kent @ Maine 40–100 non_d1
2017-11-15 2018 Bryant @ Maine 68–70 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Harvard @ Maine N 51–76 regular
2017-11-10 2018 Tulane @ Maine N 42–34 regular