cbb·system

Niagara Purple Eagles

mens Metro canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.16 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.98 possessions per game 4.47

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Niagara AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.72 to 1.31 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251120 0.355

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNiagara auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Niagara @ Rider 76–77 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Niagara @ Saint Peter's 78–68 regular
2025-03-02 2025 Manhattan @ Niagara 85–70 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Iona @ Niagara 65–63 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Niagara @ Marist 61–64 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Niagara @ Siena 60–94 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara 84–83 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Canisius @ Niagara 60–71 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Niagara @ Quinnipiac 76–75 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Niagara @ Merrimack 59–64 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Niagara @ Canisius 64–63 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Sacred Heart @ Niagara 86–77 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Marist @ Niagara 67–65 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Niagara @ Manhattan 65–72 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Niagara @ Fairfield 66–70 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Rider @ Niagara 68–65 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Saint Peter's @ Niagara 60–70 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's 62–68 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Le Moyne @ Niagara 69–88 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Niagara @ St. Bonaventure 52–71 regular
2024-12-14 2025 St. Francis (PA) @ Niagara 66–69 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Merrimack @ Niagara 80–62 regular
2024-12-06 2025 Siena @ Niagara 68–69 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Long Island University @ Niagara N 52–60 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Niagara @ Lafayette 47–59 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Niagara @ Binghamton N 65–62 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Niagara @ Kent State 73–76 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Niagara @ Bowling Green 68–76 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Niagara @ Detroit Mercy 78–84 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Niagara @ Michigan State 60–96 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Houghton @ Niagara 65–100 non_d1