cbb·system

Niagara Purple Eagles

mens Metro canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.20 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.19
PACE 61.55 possessions per game 4.91

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Niagara AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 51.01 to 72.69 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026822 0.267

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNiagara auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-01 2026 Merrimack @ Niagara 73–66 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Quinnipiac @ Niagara 76–78 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Niagara @ Rider 62–67 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Niagara @ Mount St. Mary's 63–76 regular
2026-02-15 2026 Iona @ Niagara 68–70 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Manhattan @ Niagara 76–69 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Niagara @ Quinnipiac 55–56 regular
2026-02-03 2026 Canisius @ Niagara 56–65 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Marist @ Niagara 58–46 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Siena @ Niagara 82–79 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Niagara @ Sacred Heart 70–71 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Niagara @ Fairfield 61–62 regular
2026-01-19 2026 Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara 68–58 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Niagara @ Canisius 59–54 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Niagara @ Manhattan 70–79 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Niagara @ Iona 53–71 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Fairfield @ Niagara 83–75 regular
2026-01-02 2026 Sacred Heart @ Niagara 61–64 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Houghton @ Niagara 58–81 non_d1
2025-12-16 2026 Niagara @ VCU 58–84 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Niagara @ Morgan State 73–81 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Niagara @ Saint Peter's 43–71 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Niagara @ Siena 54–83 regular
2025-11-29 2026 Detroit Mercy @ Niagara 70–66 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Niagara @ Howard N 70–80 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Niagara @ Duke 42–100 regular
2025-11-18 2026 Niagara @ Le Moyne 68–74 regular
2025-11-10 2026 Delaware State @ Niagara 57–68 regular
2025-11-08 2026 Niagara @ Binghamton 67–59 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Niagara @ Duquesne 63–83 regular