cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Sweet 16 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.79 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.28 points per possession 0.17
PACE 67.19 possessions per game 4.68

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.83 to 1.41 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015296 0.829

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-28 2015 Arizona State @ Florida State N 65–66 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-24 2015 Little Rock @ Arizona State N 54–57 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-21 2015 Ohio @ Arizona State N 55–74 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-08 2015 Stanford @ Arizona State N 59–56 conf_tournament
2015-03-06 2015 Washington State @ Arizona State N 48–67 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Colorado @ Arizona State 46–59 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Utah @ Arizona State 42–46 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Arizona State @ USC 76–73 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Arizona State @ UCLA 68–56 regular
2015-02-16 2015 Arizona State @ Oregon 72–52 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Arizona State @ Oregon State 64–70 regular
2015-02-08 2015 California @ Arizona State 50–49 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Stanford @ Arizona State 52–53 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Arizona State @ Utah 58–48 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Arizona State @ Colorado 68–60 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Oregon State @ Arizona State 68–57 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Oregon @ Arizona State 58–70 regular
2015-01-19 2015 Arizona State @ Stanford 60–57 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Arizona State @ California 67–52 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Arizona @ Arizona State 54–71 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Arizona State @ Arizona 88–41 regular
2015-01-06 2015 Washington State @ Arizona State 64–78 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Washington @ Arizona State 48–62 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Yale @ Arizona State 51–69 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Northwestern @ Arizona State 75–88 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Lehigh @ Arizona State 61–81 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Arizona State @ Illinois State 89–44 regular
2014-12-13 2015 UC Davis @ Arizona State 51–72 regular
2014-12-06 2015 SMU @ Arizona State 42–77 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Vanderbilt @ Arizona State N 67–72 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Arizona State @ Green Bay N 57–63 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Villanova @ Arizona State N 46–51 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Arizona State @ Miami 65–61 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Cal State Bakersfield @ Arizona State 54–83 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Arizona State 67–81 regular