Illinois State Redbirds
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.92 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.11 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.37 | possessions per game | 4.74 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-02 19:30),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.60 to 1.19 over
125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | 9 | 0.727 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-17 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Missouri | 51–61 | other_postseason |
| 2023-03-11 | 2023 | Drake @ Illinois State N | 74–54 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-10 | 2023 | Murray State @ Illinois State N | 73–75 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-04 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 82–71 | regular |
| 2023-03-03 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 73–56 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 49–78 | regular |
| 2023-02-24 | 2023 | UIC @ Illinois State | 55–66 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Drake | 67–83 | regular |
| 2023-02-17 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 72–70 | regular |
| 2023-02-12 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 71–66 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 70–73 | regular |
| 2023-02-05 | 2023 | Murray State @ Illinois State | 73–79 | regular |
| 2023-02-03 | 2023 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 52–84 | regular |
| 2023-01-29 | 2023 | Illinois State @ UIC | 55–42 | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 78–46 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 46–78 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 68–78 | regular |
| 2023-01-15 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Belmont | 70–56 | regular |
| 2023-01-13 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 60–50 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 59–56 | regular |
| 2023-01-06 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 67–63 | regular |
| 2023-01-01 | 2023 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 74–64 | regular |
| 2022-12-31 | 2023 | Drake @ Illinois State | 76–87 | regular |
| 2022-12-18 | 2023 | Green Bay @ Illinois State | 63–49 | regular |
| 2022-12-11 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Purdue | 51–64 | regular |
| 2022-12-06 | 2023 | Missouri St. Louis @ Illinois State | 51–66 | non_d1 |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Saint Louis | 65–75 | regular |
| 2022-11-28 | 2023 | Illinois State @ UNLV | 66–73 | regular |
| 2022-11-26 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Louisiana Tech N | 70–53 | regular |
| 2022-11-26 | 2023 | Illinois State @ UC San Diego N | 79–62 | regular |
| 2022-11-20 | 2023 | Wisconsin @ Illinois State | 57–62 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | St. Thomas @ Illinois State | 56–71 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Dayton | 74–70 | regular |