Illinois State Redbirds
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.03 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.86 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.16 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 66.87 | possessions per game | 5.32 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 28 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.68 to 1.31 over
44 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 15 | 9 | 0.625 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-22 | 2021 | UT Martin @ Illinois State N | 64–59 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-20 | 2021 | Samford @ Illinois State N | 62–68 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-20 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Tulane N | 67–75 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-13 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State N | 61–60 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 60–45 | regular |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 64–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 79–59 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Drake @ Illinois State | 71–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Drake @ Illinois State | 68–76 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 73–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 69–52 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 41–43 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 57–50 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 54–66 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Evansville @ Illinois State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-21 | 2021 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 48–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 75–58 | regular |
| 2021-01-14 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 75–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 62–32 | regular |
| 2021-01-07 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 74–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 67–72 | regular |
| 2021-01-01 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 71–82 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Saint Louis @ Illinois State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Green Bay @ Illinois State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | Omaha @ Illinois State | 38–69 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Western Illinois | 85–55 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Saint Xavier @ Illinois State | 53–98 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Dayton @ Illinois State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Tulsa | canceled | regular |