cbb·system

Illinois State Redbirds

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.40 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Illinois State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.72 to 1.29 over 61 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIllinois State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-18 2022 Illinois State @ Iowa 58–98 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-13 2022 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N 50–48 conf_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 Illinois State @ Southern Illinois N 50–42 conf_tournament
2022-03-11 2022 Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State N 52–68 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Illinois State @ Bradley 62–53 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa 63–70 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Illinois State @ Drake 62–104 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Southern Illinois @ Illinois State 65–49 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Missouri State @ Illinois State 75–69 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Illinois State @ Valparaiso 85–80 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago 57–53 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Indiana State @ Illinois State 64–72 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Evansville @ Illinois State 60–75 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Drake @ Illinois State 58–70 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Northern Iowa @ Illinois State 74–67 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Illinois State @ Missouri State 52–51 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Illinois State @ Southern Illinois 47–56 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State 50–68 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Valparaiso @ Illinois State 49–65 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Illinois State @ Evansville 87–68 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Illinois State @ Indiana State 66–58 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Bradley @ Illinois State 57–64 regular
2021-12-20 2022 Saint Louis @ Illinois State 66–77 regular
2021-12-17 2022 Illinois State @ Wisconsin 60–70 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Illinois State @ SIU Edwardsville 80–71 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Dayton @ Illinois State 78–67 regular
2021-12-01 2022 Missouri Baptist @ Illinois State 42–91 non_d1
2021-11-27 2022 Sacramento State @ Illinois State N 65–63 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Illinois State @ UC Irvine 55–67 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Illinois State @ UT Martin 52–54 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Purdue @ Illinois State 76–64 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Illinois State @ St. Thomas 70–55 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Illinois State @ Northern Illinois 60–77 regular