Illinois State Redbirds
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.99 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.05 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.75 | possessions per game | 4.60 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-05 19:30),
with 38 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.71 to 1.32 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 14 | 0.632 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Marshall | 41–66 | other_postseason |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026 | Illinois State @ South Dakota | 67–60 | other_postseason |
| 2026-03-30 | 2026 | George Washington @ Illinois State | 53–61 | other_postseason |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026 | Abilene Christian @ Illinois State | 55–59 | other_postseason |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026 | UT Rio Grande Valley @ Illinois State | 52–81 | other_postseason |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Evansville @ Illinois State N | 75–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Drake @ Illinois State N | 62–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 66–65 | regular |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Drake | 55–73 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 83–42 | regular |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 60–78 | regular |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026 | Murray State @ Illinois State | 73–62 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Belmont @ Illinois State | 78–83 | regular |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 88–75 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 60–84 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Drake @ Illinois State | 70–77 | regular |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 54–58 | regular |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 55–59 | regular |
| 2026-01-25 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 85–69 | regular |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026 | Illinois State @ UIC | 64–76 | regular |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 74–93 | regular |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 71–82 | regular |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026 | UIC @ Illinois State | 61–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Belmont | 68–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Murray State | 93–101 | regular |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 64–105 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Oakland @ Illinois State | 66–89 | regular |
| 2025-12-14 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Nebraska | 44–85 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Eastern Illinois @ Illinois State | 46–64 | regular |
| 2025-12-04 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 54–68 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Wake Forest @ Illinois State N | 57–44 | regular |
| 2025-11-27 | 2026 | East Carolina @ Illinois State N | 73–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-26 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Rice N | 72–75 | regular |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | Saint Louis @ Illinois State | 75–81 | regular |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 59–44 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Chicago State @ Illinois State | 52–101 | regular |
| 2025-11-09 | 2026 | Illinois State @ Illinois | 65–75 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Dayton @ Illinois State | 76–87 | regular |