Illinois State Redbirds
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2020
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.88 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.14 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 68.04 | possessions per game | 4.63 |
At season 2020's latest cutoff
(2020-03-12 18:00),
with 28 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020.
Axis spans 56.00 to 157.44 over
107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2020
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 19 | 10 | 0.655 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-13 | 2020 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State N | canceled | conf_tournament |
| 2020-03-07 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 62–55 | regular |
| 2020-03-06 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 68–51 | regular |
| 2020-03-01 | 2020 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 56–66 | regular |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 66–78 | regular |
| 2020-02-22 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Drake | 82–87 | regular |
| 2020-02-21 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 69–61 | regular |
| 2020-02-16 | 2020 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 78–70 | regular |
| 2020-02-15 | 2020 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State | 85–86 | regular |
| 2020-02-08 | 2020 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 66–62 | regular |
| 2020-02-02 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 74–87 | regular |
| 2020-02-01 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 62–54 | regular |
| 2020-01-26 | 2020 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 57–65 | regular |
| 2020-01-25 | 2020 | Drake @ Illinois State | 69–67 | regular |
| 2020-01-19 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 64–69 | regular |
| 2020-01-18 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 72–60 | regular |
| 2020-01-11 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 61–76 | regular |
| 2020-01-05 | 2020 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 58–81 | regular |
| 2020-01-04 | 2020 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 69–83 | regular |
| 2019-12-29 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Austin Peay | 72–77 | regular |
| 2019-12-19 | 2020 | Jackson State @ Illinois State | 55–77 | regular |
| 2019-12-16 | 2020 | SIU Edwardsville @ Illinois State | 53–74 | regular |
| 2019-12-08 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Saint Louis | 56–61 | regular |
| 2019-12-05 | 2020 | Western Illinois @ Illinois State | 65–78 | regular |
| 2019-11-30 | 2020 | UT Martin @ Illinois State | 47–70 | regular |
| 2019-11-24 | 2020 | Illinois State @ North Dakota | 66–58 | regular |
| 2019-11-21 | 2020 | Northern Illinois @ Illinois State | 66–69 | regular |
| 2019-11-16 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Illinois | 74–58 | regular |
| 2019-11-10 | 2020 | Illinois State @ Marquette | 41–58 | regular |
| 2019-11-06 | 2020 | Truman State @ Illinois State | 60–87 | non_d1 |