Illinois State Redbirds
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 64 (out) 2022
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.96 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.06 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.40 | possessions per game | 4.55 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-04 00:00),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 55.43 to 154.77 over
124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | 14 | 0.576 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-18 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Iowa | 58–98 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-13 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N | 50–48 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-12 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois N | 50–42 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-11 | 2022 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State N | 52–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-05 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 62–53 | regular |
| 2022-02-27 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 63–70 | regular |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Drake | 62–104 | regular |
| 2022-02-20 | 2022 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 65–49 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 75–69 | regular |
| 2022-02-12 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 85–80 | regular |
| 2022-02-11 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 57–53 | regular |
| 2022-02-06 | 2022 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 64–72 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 60–75 | regular |
| 2022-01-30 | 2022 | Drake @ Illinois State | 58–70 | regular |
| 2022-01-28 | 2022 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 74–67 | regular |
| 2022-01-22 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 52–51 | regular |
| 2022-01-21 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 47–56 | regular |
| 2022-01-16 | 2022 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State | 50–68 | regular |
| 2022-01-14 | 2022 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 49–65 | regular |
| 2022-01-09 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 87–68 | regular |
| 2022-01-07 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 66–58 | regular |
| 2022-01-01 | 2022 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 57–64 | regular |
| 2021-12-20 | 2022 | Saint Louis @ Illinois State | 66–77 | regular |
| 2021-12-17 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Wisconsin | 60–70 | regular |
| 2021-12-11 | 2022 | Illinois State @ SIU Edwardsville | 80–71 | regular |
| 2021-12-05 | 2022 | Dayton @ Illinois State | 78–67 | regular |
| 2021-12-01 | 2022 | Missouri Baptist @ Illinois State | 42–91 | non_d1 |
| 2021-11-27 | 2022 | Sacramento State @ Illinois State N | 65–63 | regular |
| 2021-11-26 | 2022 | Illinois State @ UC Irvine | 55–67 | regular |
| 2021-11-20 | 2022 | Illinois State @ UT Martin | 52–54 | regular |
| 2021-11-18 | 2022 | Purdue @ Illinois State | 76–64 | regular |
| 2021-11-13 | 2022 | Illinois State @ St. Thomas | 70–55 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Northern Illinois | 60–77 | regular |