Illinois State Redbirds
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.08 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.48 | possessions per game | 4.56 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-07 19:00),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 57.69 to 94.10 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | 12 | 0.647 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-29 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Wisconsin | 61–86 | other_postseason |
| 2024-03-24 | 2024 | Charleston @ Illinois State | 67–74 | other_postseason |
| 2024-03-15 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N | 75–79 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-14 | 2024 | Evansville @ Illinois State N | 64–85 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-09 | 2024 | Belmont @ Illinois State | 72–69 | regular |
| 2024-03-08 | 2024 | Murray State @ Illinois State | 75–85 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 62–67 | regular |
| 2024-03-01 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 75–66 | regular |
| 2024-02-25 | 2024 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 50–78 | regular |
| 2024-02-23 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 68–50 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 64–78 | regular |
| 2024-02-16 | 2024 | UIC @ Illinois State | 61–64 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Drake | 64–79 | regular |
| 2024-02-09 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 47–74 | regular |
| 2024-02-04 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 64–59 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Drake @ Illinois State | 70–79 | regular |
| 2024-01-26 | 2024 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 77–88 | regular |
| 2024-01-21 | 2024 | Illinois State @ UIC | 79–86 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 77–68 | regular |
| 2024-01-15 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 78–85 | regular |
| 2024-01-11 | 2024 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 43–76 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Murray State | 55–90 | regular |
| 2024-01-05 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Belmont | 52–64 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 74–78 | regular |
| 2023-12-20 | 2024 | Saint Louis @ Illinois State | 81–87 | regular |
| 2023-12-10 | 2024 | Marquette @ Illinois State | 64–62 | regular |
| 2023-12-03 | 2024 | Illinois State @ NC State | 61–79 | regular |
| 2023-12-01 | 2024 | Chicago State @ Illinois State | 47–102 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Saint Mary's | 62–51 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | UT Arlington @ Illinois State N | 63–87 | regular |
| 2023-11-19 | 2024 | St. Francis (IL) @ Illinois State | 51–89 | non_d1 |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | SIU Edwardsville @ Illinois State | 86–90 | regular |
| 2023-11-11 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Green Bay | 62–88 | regular |
| 2023-11-06 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Omaha | 105–59 | regular |