cbb·system

Troy Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 74.96 possessions per game 4.30

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Troy AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans -0.27 to 0.56 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026258 0.758

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTroy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-19 2026 Troy @ Kansas 70–79 other_postseason
2026-03-09 2026 James Madison @ Troy N 69–52 conf_tournament
2026-03-08 2026 Arkansas State @ Troy N 73–83 conf_tournament
2026-02-27 2026 Troy @ South Alabama 69–76 regular
2026-02-24 2026 Troy @ Arkansas State 61–54 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Southern Miss @ Troy 80–97 regular
2026-02-19 2026 South Alabama @ Troy 73–84 regular
2026-02-14 2026 UL Monroe @ Troy 80–82 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Louisiana @ Troy 55–71 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Troy @ Ball State 86–87 regular
2026-02-05 2026 App State @ Troy 59–69 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Troy @ Coastal Carolina 88–77 regular
2026-01-28 2026 Troy @ Marshall 85–82 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Georgia State @ Troy 69–96 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Georgia Southern @ Troy 80–69 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Troy @ Texas State 67–63 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Troy @ UL Monroe 86–80 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Arkansas State @ Troy 64–86 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Texas State @ Troy 49–84 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Troy @ Southern Miss 95–98 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Troy @ Louisiana 80–54 regular
2025-12-21 2026 Troy @ Alabama 59–77 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Troy @ Old Dominion 81–59 regular
2025-12-10 2026 Oakwood @ Troy 62–132 non_d1
2025-12-03 2026 Troy @ Longwood 86–83 regular
2025-11-30 2026 Troy @ Florida Gulf Coast N 74–70 regular
2025-11-28 2026 Troy @ Texas Southern N 103–74 regular
2025-11-25 2026 Montana State @ Troy 60–74 regular
2025-11-20 2026 Troy @ Missouri 100–82 regular
2025-11-19 2026 Troy @ Kansas State 59–81 regular
2025-11-13 2026 Chattanooga @ Troy 56–73 regular
2025-11-06 2026 Mississippi Valley State @ Troy 50–95 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Toledo @ Troy 51–88 regular