cbb·system

Troy Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 81.14 possessions per game 4.03

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Troy AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.72 to 1.28 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTroy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-03 2023 Old Dominion @ Troy N 86–83 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Troy @ South Alabama 59–60 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Troy @ Southern Miss 79–88 regular
2023-02-18 2023 App State @ Troy 66–73 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Coastal Carolina @ Troy 99–97 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Troy @ UL Monroe 108–82 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Arkansas State @ Troy 98–92 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Troy @ Louisiana 81–80 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Troy @ Texas State 84–78 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Georgia Southern @ Troy 77–100 regular
2023-01-27 2023 South Alabama @ Troy 62–81 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Troy @ James Madison 79–80 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Troy @ Marshall 87–77 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Louisiana @ Troy 78–85 regular
2023-01-13 2023 UL Monroe @ Troy 74–92 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Troy @ Georgia State 81–58 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Troy @ Arkansas State 83–67 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Texas State @ Troy 63–79 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Southern Miss @ Troy 77–75 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Troy @ Belmont 87–98 regular
2022-12-14 2023 LaGrange @ Troy 49–114 non_d1
2022-12-10 2023 Mercer @ Troy 73–79 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Tulane @ Troy 103–100 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Troy @ Arkansas 70–87 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Washington State @ Troy N 87–72 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Troy @ BYU N 68–62 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Troy @ San Francisco 73–84 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Troy @ UCLA 83–95 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Troy @ UT Martin 89–84 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Troy @ Samford 66–62 regular