cbb·system

Troy Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.19
PACE 76.79 possessions per game 4.47

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Troy AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 64.67 to 150.83 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252414 0.632

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTroy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-04-05 2025 Troy @ Buffalo 84–88 other_postseason
2025-04-02 2025 Troy @ Illinois State 99–96 other_postseason
2025-04-01 2025 Troy @ North Dakota State 97–88 other_postseason
2025-03-27 2025 North Texas @ Troy 86–88 other_postseason
2025-03-24 2025 Chattanooga @ Troy 72–85 other_postseason
2025-03-09 2025 Troy @ Arkansas State N 66–81 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Marshall @ Troy N 54–85 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Arkansas State @ Troy 89–85 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Texas State @ Troy 66–86 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Troy @ South Alabama 86–71 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Troy @ UL Monroe 73–84 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Southern Miss @ Troy 59–86 regular
2025-02-13 2025 UL Monroe @ Troy 71–84 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Kent State @ Troy 84–73 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Old Dominion @ Troy 80–83 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Troy @ Southern Miss 70–45 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Troy @ Arkansas State 77–91 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Troy @ Louisiana 53–70 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Troy @ Texas State 105–58 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Louisiana @ Troy 73–81 regular
2025-01-17 2025 South Alabama @ Troy 60–99 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Troy @ Georgia State 80–72 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Troy @ App State 85–68 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Marshall @ Troy 69–80 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Coastal Carolina @ Troy 84–92 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Troy @ James Madison 52–63 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Troy @ Arkansas N 77–69 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Toledo @ Troy N 70–62 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Memphis @ Troy 67–85 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Oakwood @ Troy 47–109 non_d1
2024-12-01 2025 Troy @ Mississippi Valley State 65–66 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Troy @ North Dakota State N 86–69 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Troy @ Alaska Anchorage 80–73 non_d1
2024-11-19 2025 Troy @ LSU 59–98 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Troy @ Chattanooga 76–66 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Troy @ Alabama 71–94 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Troy @ Montana State 63–73 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Troy @ Buffalo 78–80 regular