cbb·system

Northern Iowa Panthers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.84 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Iowa AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.55 to 1.15 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201811 0.621

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Iowa auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 Northern Iowa @ Illinois State N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Drake @ Northern Iowa 78–91 regular
2020-03-01 2020 Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago 73–70 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso 69–72 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 57–64 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa 69–61 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Northern Iowa @ Evansville 67–49 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 63–65 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 66–71 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Missouri State @ Northern Iowa 66–55 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa 70–77 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Loyola Chicago @ Northern Iowa 50–70 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Northern Iowa @ Illinois State 57–65 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 47–61 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 43–73 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Evansville @ Northern Iowa 60–76 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Northern Iowa @ Missouri State 66–80 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois 60–57 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Northern Iowa @ Drake 87–104 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Northern Iowa @ Iowa State 71–63 regular
2019-12-15 2020 IU Indianapolis @ Northern Iowa 50–51 regular
2019-12-11 2020 Northern Iowa @ Omaha 81–45 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Northern Iowa @ Creighton 54–57 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Northern Iowa @ Ohio State N 46–64 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Alabama @ Northern Iowa N 87–77 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Northwest Missouri State @ Northern Iowa 53–78 non_d1
2019-11-17 2020 Iowa @ Northern Iowa 66–88 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Northern Iowa @ Missouri 78–73 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Northern Iowa @ Wichita State 61–50 regular
2019-11-07 2020 North Dakota State @ Northern Iowa 63–95 regular