cbb·system

Northern Iowa Panthers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.73 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.91 possessions per game 4.81

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Iowa AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 52.39 to 77.29 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151715 0.531

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Iowa auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-20 2015 Missouri @ Northern Iowa 69–61 other_postseason
2015-03-14 2015 Northern Iowa @ Wichita State N 42–56 conf_tournament
2015-03-13 2015 Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa N 50–59 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 68–74 regular
2015-03-06 2015 Loyola Chicago @ Northern Iowa 64–69 regular
2015-03-01 2015 Northern Iowa @ Wichita State 54–66 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Northern Iowa @ Missouri State 70–72 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Evansville @ Northern Iowa 44–89 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 29–64 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Northern Iowa @ Drake 67–87 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois 75–79 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Northern Iowa @ Illinois State 59–52 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Missouri State @ Northern Iowa 56–64 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Wichita State @ Northern Iowa 70–52 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 57–55 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Northern Iowa @ Evansville 58–44 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Drake @ Northern Iowa 76–72 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa 43–71 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 70–79 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago 75–58 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 70–51 regular
2014-12-30 2015 South Dakota State @ Northern Iowa 74–60 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 42–51 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Dartmouth @ Northern Iowa 46–62 regular
2014-12-12 2015 North Dakota State @ Northern Iowa 41–56 regular
2014-12-09 2015 Creighton @ Northern Iowa 58–56 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Northern Iowa @ South Dakota 77–85 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Tulane @ Northern Iowa N 71–48 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Northern Iowa @ Hofstra 58–61 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Northern Iowa @ Iowa 45–73 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Northern Iowa @ Akron 73–82 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Northern Iowa @ Tulsa 69–66 regular