cbb·system

NC State Wolfpack

mens ACC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.16 possessions per game 4.47

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

NC State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.79 to 1.33 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221121 0.344

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNC State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-08 2022 NC State @ Clemson N 64–70 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 NC State @ Florida State 76–89 regular
2022-03-03 2022 NC State @ Wake Forest 76–101 regular
2022-02-26 2022 North Carolina @ NC State 84–74 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Boston College @ NC State 69–61 regular
2022-02-16 2022 NC State @ Georgia Tech 76–61 regular
2022-02-12 2022 NC State @ Pittsburgh 69–71 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Wake Forest @ NC State 69–51 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Notre Dame @ NC State 69–57 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Syracuse @ NC State 89–82 regular
2022-01-29 2022 NC State @ North Carolina 80–100 regular
2022-01-27 2022 NC State @ Notre Dame 65–73 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Virginia @ NC State 63–77 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Virginia Tech @ NC State 62–59 regular
2022-01-15 2022 NC State @ Duke 73–88 regular
2022-01-13 2022 NC State @ Louisville 79–63 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Clemson @ NC State 70–65 regular
2022-01-05 2022 NC State @ Virginia Tech 68–63 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Florida State @ NC State 83–81 regular
2021-12-30 2022 NC State @ Miami 83–91 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Wright State @ NC State 84–70 regular
2021-12-17 2022 Richmond @ NC State N 83–74 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Purdue @ NC State N 82–72 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Bethune-Cookman @ NC State 48–65 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Louisville @ NC State 73–68 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Nebraska @ NC State 100–104 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Louisiana Tech @ NC State 81–90 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Texas Southern @ NC State 57–65 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Oklahoma State @ NC State N 74–68 regular
2021-11-17 2022 NC State @ Central Connecticut N 79–65 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Colgate @ NC State 74–77 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Bucknell @ NC State 70–88 regular