cbb·system

NC State Wolfpack

mens ACC canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.16 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.77 possessions per game 4.26

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

NC State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.68 to 1.28 over 75 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232311 0.676

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNC State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-17 2023 NC State @ Creighton N 63–72 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 NC State @ Clemson N 54–80 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Virginia Tech @ NC State N 77–97 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 NC State @ Duke 67–71 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Clemson @ NC State 96–71 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Wake Forest @ NC State 74–90 regular
2023-02-19 2023 North Carolina @ NC State 69–77 regular
2023-02-15 2023 NC State @ Syracuse 72–75 regular
2023-02-11 2023 NC State @ Boston College 92–62 regular
2023-02-08 2023 NC State @ Virginia 50–63 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Georgia Tech @ NC State 64–72 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Florida State @ NC State 66–94 regular
2023-01-28 2023 NC State @ Wake Forest 79–77 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Notre Dame @ NC State 82–85 regular
2023-01-21 2023 NC State @ North Carolina 69–80 regular
2023-01-18 2023 NC State @ Georgia Tech 78–66 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Miami @ NC State 81–83 regular
2023-01-08 2023 NC State @ Virginia Tech 73–69 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Duke @ NC State 60–84 regular
2022-12-30 2023 NC State @ Clemson 64–78 regular
2022-12-23 2023 Louisville @ NC State 64–76 regular
2022-12-18 2023 NC State @ Vanderbilt N 70–66 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Furman @ NC State 73–92 regular
2022-12-10 2023 NC State @ Miami 73–80 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Coppin State @ NC State 72–94 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Pittsburgh @ NC State 68–60 regular
2022-11-30 2023 William & Mary @ NC State 64–85 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Butler @ NC State N 61–76 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Dayton @ NC State N 64–76 regular
2022-11-23 2023 NC State @ Kansas N 74–80 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Elon @ NC State 63–74 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Florida International @ NC State 74–107 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Campbell @ NC State 67–73 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Austin Peay @ NC State 50–99 regular