NC State Wolfpack
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#11 Play-in (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.26 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.24 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.55 | possessions per game | 4.44 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.66 to 1.32 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 14 | 0.588 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | NC State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | 2026 | Texas @ NC State N | 68–66 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026 | NC State @ Virginia N | 74–81 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-11 | 2026 | Pittsburgh @ NC State N | 88–98 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | Stanford @ NC State | 85–84 | regular |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026 | Duke @ NC State | 93–64 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | NC State @ Notre Dame | 90–96 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | NC State @ Virginia | 61–90 | regular |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026 | North Carolina @ NC State | 58–82 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Miami @ NC State | 77–76 | regular |
| 2026-02-10 | 2026 | NC State @ Louisville | 77–118 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Virginia Tech @ NC State | 73–82 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | NC State @ SMU | 84–83 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | NC State @ Wake Forest | 96–78 | regular |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026 | Syracuse @ NC State | 68–88 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | NC State @ Pittsburgh | 81–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026 | NC State @ Clemson | 80–76 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Georgia Tech @ NC State | 78–74 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | NC State @ Florida State | 113–69 | regular |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026 | NC State @ Boston College | 79–71 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Virginia @ NC State | 76–61 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Wake Forest @ NC State | 57–70 | regular |
| 2025-12-21 | 2026 | Ole Miss @ NC State N | 62–76 | regular |
| 2025-12-18 | 2026 | Texas Southern @ NC State | 72–108 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | Kansas @ NC State | 77–76 | regular |
| 2025-12-11 | 2026 | Liberty @ NC State | 45–85 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | UNC Asheville @ NC State | 63–75 | regular |
| 2025-12-04 | 2026 | NC State @ Auburn | 73–83 | regular |
| 2025-11-27 | 2026 | NC State @ Texas N | 97–102 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | NC State @ Boise State N | 81–70 | regular |
| 2025-11-24 | 2026 | Seton Hall @ NC State N | 85–74 | regular |
| 2025-11-18 | 2026 | VCU @ NC State | 79–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-13 | 2026 | UNC Greensboro @ NC State | 64–110 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | UAB @ NC State | 70–94 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | North Carolina Central @ NC State | 66–114 | regular |