NC State Wolfpack
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.97 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.16 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.65 | possessions per game | 4.58 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.84 to 1.48 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 14 | 11 | 0.560 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | NC State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-25 | 2021 | NC State @ Colorado State N | 61–65 | nit |
| 2021-03-18 | 2021 | NC State @ Davidson N | 75–61 | nit |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | NC State @ Syracuse N | 68–89 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Virginia Tech @ NC State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-03-04 | 2021 | NC State @ Notre Dame | 80–69 | regular |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Pittsburgh @ NC State | 62–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | NC State @ Virginia | 68–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | NC State @ Wake Forest | 80–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | NC State @ Pittsburgh | 74–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Duke @ NC State | 69–53 | regular |
| 2021-02-09 | 2021 | Syracuse @ NC State | 77–68 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | NC State @ Boston College | 81–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-04 | 2021 | Virginia @ NC State | 64–57 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | NC State @ Syracuse | 73–76 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | Wake Forest @ NC State | 67–72 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | NC State @ North Carolina | 76–86 | regular |
| 2021-01-21 | 2021 | NC State @ Virginia | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Georgia Tech @ NC State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-13 | 2021 | NC State @ Florida State | 73–105 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Miami @ NC State | 64–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-06 | 2021 | NC State @ Clemson | 70–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Boston College @ NC State | 76–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-23 | 2021 | North Carolina @ NC State | 76–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Campbell @ NC State | 50–69 | regular |
| 2020-12-18 | 2021 | NC State @ Saint Louis | 69–80 | regular |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | NC State @ Louisville | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Florida Atlantic @ NC State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | NC State @ UConn N | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | UMass Lowell @ NC State N | 59–90 | regular |
| 2020-12-01 | 2021 | William & Mary @ NC State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | North Florida @ NC State | 51–86 | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Charleston Southern @ NC State | 61–95 | regular |