NC State Wolfpack
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.08 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.03 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.05 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 64.78 | possessions per game | 4.47 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 54.56 to 78.40 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 19 | 0.387 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | NC State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | NC State @ Miami | 70–72 | regular |
| 2025-03-06 | 2025 | Pittsburgh @ NC State | 63–71 | regular |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | NC State @ Georgia Tech | 62–87 | regular |
| 2025-02-27 | 2025 | NC State @ Syracuse | 60–74 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Wake Forest @ NC State | 73–85 | regular |
| 2025-02-20 | 2025 | NC State @ North Carolina | 73–97 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Boston College @ NC State | 62–70 | regular |
| 2025-02-13 | 2025 | Louisville @ NC State | 91–66 | regular |
| 2025-02-09 | 2025 | NC State @ Stanford | 73–74 | regular |
| 2025-02-06 | 2025 | NC State @ California | 62–74 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Clemson @ NC State | 68–58 | regular |
| 2025-01-28 | 2025 | NC State @ Duke | 64–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | SMU @ NC State | 63–57 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | California @ NC State | 65–62 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | NC State @ Virginia Tech | 76–79 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | North Carolina @ NC State | 63–61 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Notre Dame @ NC State | 65–66 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | NC State @ Wake Forest | 59–77 | regular |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025 | NC State @ Virginia | 67–70 | regular |
| 2024-12-22 | 2025 | Rider @ NC State | 63–89 | regular |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | NC State @ Kansas | 60–75 | regular |
| 2024-12-11 | 2025 | Coppin State @ NC State | 56–66 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Florida State @ NC State | 74–84 | regular |
| 2024-12-05 | 2025 | Texas @ NC State | 63–59 | regular |
| 2024-11-29 | 2025 | NC State @ BYU N | 61–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | NC State @ Purdue N | 61–71 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | William & Mary @ NC State | 61–84 | regular |
| 2024-11-19 | 2025 | Colgate @ NC State | 49–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Coastal Carolina @ NC State | 70–82 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | Presbyterian @ NC State | 72–81 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | South Carolina Upstate @ NC State | 66–97 | regular |