cbb·system

Colgate Raiders

mens Patriot canonical name from espn_mbb #14 Round of 64 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.20 possessions per game 4.51

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 38 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Colgate AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.81 to 1.42 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20222312 0.657

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdColgate auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-19 2022 Colgate @ Wisconsin N 60–67 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Navy @ Colgate 58–74 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 Lehigh @ Colgate 61–81 conf_tournament
2022-03-04 2022 Bucknell @ Colgate 68–96 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Navy @ Colgate 69–74 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Colgate @ Holy Cross 78–71 regular
2022-02-21 2022 American University @ Colgate 49–63 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Boston University @ Colgate 53–72 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Colgate @ Army 100–90 regular
2022-02-14 2022 Lafayette @ Colgate 61–69 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Colgate @ Loyola Maryland 64–56 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Lehigh @ Colgate 62–78 regular
2022-02-07 2022 Holy Cross @ Colgate 60–87 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Colgate @ American University 86–68 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Bucknell @ Colgate 69–83 regular
2022-01-31 2022 Colgate @ Lafayette 72–61 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Colgate @ Boston University 72–76 regular
2022-01-25 2022 Loyola Maryland @ Colgate 52–65 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Lafayette @ Colgate scheduled regular
2022-01-20 2022 Colgate @ Bucknell 75–56 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Holy Cross @ Colgate scheduled regular
2022-01-14 2022 Colgate @ Navy 69–50 regular
2022-01-10 2022 Army @ Colgate 57–76 regular
2022-01-07 2022 American University @ Colgate scheduled regular
2022-01-05 2022 Colgate @ Lehigh 81–85 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Colgate @ Lafayette scheduled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Colgate @ Vermont 68–78 regular
2021-12-19 2022 Colgate @ Monmouth 66–77 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Colgate @ St. John's 64–82 regular
2021-12-10 2022 Colgate @ Pittsburgh 68–71 regular
2021-12-07 2022 Columbia @ Colgate 61–89 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Colgate @ Northeastern 69–74 regular
2021-11-30 2022 Niagara @ Colgate 70–59 regular
2021-11-25 2022 Colgate @ Harvard 84–89 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Colgate @ Syracuse 100–85 regular
2021-11-19 2022 SUNY Poly @ Colgate 50–97 non_d1
2021-11-17 2022 Colgate @ Cornell 68–78 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Colgate @ NC State 74–77 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Northeastern @ Colgate 58–65 regular