cbb·system

American University Eagles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.01 points per possession 0.17
PACE 72.44 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

American University AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.49 to 1.21 over 90 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015249 0.727

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAmerican University auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-20 2015 American University @ Iowa N 67–75 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-14 2015 Lehigh @ American University 50–66 conf_tournament
2015-03-09 2015 Navy @ American University 53–60 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Lafayette @ American University 56–79 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Bucknell @ American University 55–65 regular
2015-02-26 2015 American University @ Navy 41–29 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Army @ American University 42–45 regular
2015-02-19 2015 American University @ Boston University 58–50 regular
2015-02-14 2015 American University @ Lafayette 74–58 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Lehigh @ American University 64–74 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Colgate @ American University 46–75 regular
2015-02-05 2015 American University @ Loyola Maryland 55–44 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Holy Cross @ American University 67–61 regular
2015-01-28 2015 Navy @ American University 49–59 regular
2015-01-24 2015 American University @ Army 60–68 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Boston University @ American University 45–75 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Lafayette @ American University 44–63 regular
2015-01-15 2015 American University @ Lehigh 75–73 regular
2015-01-10 2015 American University @ Colgate 66–58 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Loyola Maryland @ American University 50–62 regular
2015-01-03 2015 American University @ Holy Cross 74–63 regular
2014-12-31 2015 American University @ Bucknell 60–55 regular
2014-12-28 2015 American University @ Wake Forest 64–77 regular
2014-12-20 2015 American University @ Maryland Eastern Shore 64–52 regular
2014-12-18 2015 American University @ Manhattan 60–52 regular
2014-12-13 2015 American University @ Maryland 50–94 regular
2014-12-06 2015 American University @ Massachusetts 61–71 regular
2014-12-04 2015 UMBC @ American University 51–77 regular
2014-11-30 2015 American University @ Oregon N 72–64 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Gonzaga @ American University N 56–59 regular
2014-11-24 2015 Princeton @ American University 63–56 regular
2014-11-21 2015 James Madison @ American University 69–65 regular
2014-11-17 2015 George Washington @ American University 63–52 regular