cbb·system

American University Eagles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.16
PACE 58.47 possessions per game 5.47

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

American University AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.41 over 29 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142210 0.688

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAmerican University auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-20 2014 American University @ Seton Hall 60–63 other_postseason
2014-03-10 2014 American University @ Army 55–68 conf_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 Lafayette @ American University 49–51 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 American University @ Bucknell 67–53 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Navy @ American University 50–63 regular
2014-02-22 2014 American University @ Army 60–64 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Boston University @ American University 44–69 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Lafayette @ American University 61–72 regular
2014-02-12 2014 American University @ Lehigh 69–56 regular
2014-02-08 2014 American University @ Colgate 75–57 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Loyola Maryland @ American University 38–63 regular
2014-02-01 2014 American University @ Holy Cross 58–53 regular
2014-01-30 2014 American University @ Navy 44–48 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Army @ American University 64–63 regular
2014-01-23 2014 American University @ Boston University 63–56 regular
2014-01-18 2014 American University @ Lafayette 72–57 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Lehigh @ American University 61–70 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Colgate @ American University 55–72 regular
2014-01-08 2014 American University @ Loyola Maryland 52–34 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Holy Cross @ American University 63–60 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Bucknell @ American University 40–77 regular
2013-12-28 2014 American University @ George Washington 64–77 regular
2013-12-21 2014 American University @ Coppin State 64–42 regular
2013-12-17 2014 Mount St. Mary's @ American University 64–61 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Drexel @ American University 41–47 regular
2013-12-05 2014 American University @ Hampton 58–46 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Dartmouth @ American University 54–77 regular
2013-11-26 2014 American University @ Fordham 62–66 regular
2013-11-23 2014 American University @ Quinnipiac 66–68 regular
2013-11-20 2014 American University @ UMBC 60–39 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Massachusetts @ American University 59–82 regular
2013-11-13 2014 Maryland Eastern Shore @ American University 69–76 regular