cbb·system

American University Eagles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.60 possessions per game 4.98

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

American University AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.68 to 1.23 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018267 0.788

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAmerican University auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-17 2018 American University @ UCLA N 60–71 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-11 2018 Navy @ American University 49–58 conf_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 Army @ American University 49–60 conf_tournament
2018-03-06 2018 Lafayette @ American University 35–55 conf_tournament
2018-03-01 2018 American University @ Navy 49–76 regular
2018-02-24 2018 American University @ Bucknell 52–57 regular
2018-02-21 2018 Holy Cross @ American University 57–72 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Lafayette @ American University 66–74 regular
2018-02-15 2018 American University @ Boston University 61–54 regular
2018-02-10 2018 American University @ Lehigh 60–44 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Loyola Maryland @ American University 56–69 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Army @ American University 63–71 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Colgate @ American University 44–67 regular
2018-01-25 2018 American University @ Holy Cross 68–63 regular
2018-01-20 2018 American University @ Lafayette 74–67 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Boston University @ American University 50–66 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Lehigh @ American University 64–82 regular
2018-01-11 2018 American University @ Loyola Maryland 71–58 regular
2018-01-09 2018 American University @ Army 64–46 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Navy @ American University 41–46 regular
2018-01-02 2018 American University @ Colgate 77–55 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Bucknell @ American University 58–68 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Penn State @ American University 66–75 regular
2017-12-17 2018 American University @ George Washington 44–61 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Denver @ American University 53–66 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Youngstown State @ American University 72–78 regular
2017-11-30 2018 American University @ UMBC 61–48 regular
2017-11-26 2018 American University @ Villanova N 60–65 regular
2017-11-24 2018 American University @ Vermont 64–62 regular
2017-11-21 2018 American University @ George Mason 53–71 regular
2017-11-17 2018 American University @ Delaware 56–72 regular
2017-11-14 2018 La Salle @ American University 48–66 regular
2017-11-11 2018 American University @ Tulsa 72–67 regular