cbb·system

American University Eagles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.01 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.43 possessions per game 5.02

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

American University AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 54.44 to 77.68 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192211 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAmerican University auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-22 2019 American University @ Pennsylvania 45–64 other_postseason
2019-03-17 2019 American University @ Bucknell 54–66 conf_tournament
2019-03-14 2019 Lehigh @ American University 57–68 conf_tournament
2019-03-11 2019 Lafayette @ American University 47–67 conf_tournament
2019-03-07 2019 Navy @ American University 44–69 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Bucknell @ American University 65–64 regular
2019-02-27 2019 American University @ Holy Cross 71–44 regular
2019-02-23 2019 American University @ Lafayette 67–57 regular
2019-02-20 2019 Boston University @ American University 48–50 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Lehigh @ American University 47–50 regular
2019-02-13 2019 American University @ Loyola Maryland 67–56 regular
2019-02-09 2019 American University @ Army 75–62 regular
2019-02-02 2019 American University @ Colgate 71–66 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Holy Cross @ American University 58–70 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Lafayette @ American University 45–60 regular
2019-01-24 2019 American University @ Boston University 64–51 regular
2019-01-19 2019 American University @ Lehigh 61–53 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Loyola Maryland @ American University 38–82 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Army @ American University 51–61 regular
2019-01-10 2019 American University @ Navy 58–45 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Colgate @ American University 57–76 regular
2019-01-03 2019 American University @ Bucknell 56–71 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Ohio @ American University 77–67 regular
2018-12-20 2019 American University @ High Point 61–66 regular
2018-12-16 2019 American University @ Penn State 59–80 regular
2018-12-06 2019 American University @ Virginia 54–57 regular
2018-11-29 2019 UMBC @ American University 42–64 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Florida Gulf Coast @ American University N 90–71 regular
2018-11-24 2019 American University @ Stanford N 49–71 regular
2018-11-24 2019 American University @ Hawai'i 69–57 regular
2018-11-19 2019 American University @ Denver 54–83 regular
2018-11-15 2019 George Mason @ American University 71–86 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Tulsa @ American University 52–68 regular