cbb·system

American University Eagles

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.28 possessions per game 4.70

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

American University AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 55.98 to 157.25 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAmerican University auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-09 2020 American University @ Boston University 44–46 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Navy @ American University 53–63 conf_tournament
2020-03-05 2020 Navy @ American University 42–57 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Holy Cross @ American University 73–58 regular
2020-02-27 2020 American University @ Lafayette 48–55 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Boston University @ American University 54–55 regular
2020-02-20 2020 American University @ Navy 48–40 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Bucknell @ American University 60–57 regular
2020-02-12 2020 American University @ Loyola Maryland 47–56 regular
2020-02-08 2020 American University @ Army 67–62 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Lafayette @ American University 67–52 regular
2020-01-29 2020 American University @ Lehigh 64–56 regular
2020-01-25 2020 American University @ Colgate 62–63 regular
2020-01-22 2020 Loyola Maryland @ American University 44–63 regular
2020-01-18 2020 American University @ Holy Cross 59–72 regular
2020-01-15 2020 American University @ Bucknell 43–68 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Lehigh @ American University 64–63 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Army @ American University 57–73 regular
2020-01-05 2020 American University @ Boston University 44–59 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Colgate @ American University 61–63 regular
2019-12-22 2020 George Washington @ American University 53–66 regular
2019-12-15 2020 American University @ Radford 59–55 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Minnesota @ American University 70–53 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Buffalo @ American University N 73–55 regular
2019-11-30 2020 American University @ Saint Joseph's 51–72 regular
2019-11-24 2020 American University @ Towson 60–63 regular
2019-11-22 2020 American University @ George Mason 55–73 regular
2019-11-19 2020 High Point @ American University 48–56 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Villanova @ American University 54–76 regular
2019-11-10 2020 American University @ Ohio 69–81 regular