Duke Blue Devils
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#4 Elite 8 (out) 2024
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.26 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.30 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.49 | possessions per game | 4.63 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 36 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 0.66 to 1.26 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | 9 | 0.750 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Duke | auto |
| odds_api | Duke | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-31 | 2024 | NC State @ Duke N | 76–64 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-30 | 2024 | Duke @ Houston N | 54–51 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-24 | 2024 | James Madison @ Duke N | 55–93 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-22 | 2024 | Vermont @ Duke N | 47–64 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-14 | 2024 | NC State @ Duke N | 74–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-09 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Duke | 84–79 | regular |
| 2024-03-05 | 2024 | Duke @ NC State | 79–64 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Virginia @ Duke | 48–73 | regular |
| 2024-02-29 | 2024 | Louisville @ Duke | 59–84 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | Duke @ Wake Forest | 79–83 | regular |
| 2024-02-22 | 2024 | Duke @ Miami | 84–55 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Duke @ Florida State | 76–67 | regular |
| 2024-02-13 | 2024 | Wake Forest @ Duke | 69–77 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Boston College @ Duke | 65–80 | regular |
| 2024-02-08 | 2024 | Notre Dame @ Duke | 53–71 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Duke @ North Carolina | 84–93 | regular |
| 2024-01-30 | 2024 | Duke @ Virginia Tech | 77–67 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Clemson @ Duke | 71–72 | regular |
| 2024-01-24 | 2024 | Duke @ Louisville | 83–69 | regular |
| 2024-01-21 | 2024 | Pittsburgh @ Duke | 80–76 | regular |
| 2024-01-13 | 2024 | Georgia Tech @ Duke | 79–84 | regular |
| 2024-01-10 | 2024 | Duke @ Pittsburgh | 75–53 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Duke @ Notre Dame | 67–59 | regular |
| 2024-01-03 | 2024 | Syracuse @ Duke | 66–86 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Queens University @ Duke | 69–106 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | Baylor @ Duke N | 70–78 | regular |
| 2023-12-13 | 2024 | Hofstra @ Duke | 68–89 | regular |
| 2023-12-09 | 2024 | Charlotte @ Duke | 56–80 | regular |
| 2023-12-02 | 2024 | Duke @ Georgia Tech | 68–72 | regular |
| 2023-11-30 | 2024 | Duke @ Arkansas | 75–80 | regular |
| 2023-11-24 | 2024 | Southern Indiana @ Duke | 62–80 | regular |
| 2023-11-22 | 2024 | La Salle @ Duke | 66–95 | regular |
| 2023-11-17 | 2024 | Bucknell @ Duke | 60–90 | regular |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | Duke @ Michigan State N | 74–65 | regular |
| 2023-11-11 | 2024 | Arizona @ Duke | 78–73 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Dartmouth @ Duke | 54–92 | regular |