Duke Blue Devils
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#5 Round of 32 (out) 2023
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.17 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.22 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 64.39 | possessions per game | 4.47 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 36 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.77 to 1.42 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27 | 9 | 0.750 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Duke | auto |
| odds_api | Duke | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-18 | 2023 | Duke @ Tennessee N | 52–65 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-16 | 2023 | Oral Roberts @ Duke N | 51–74 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-12 | 2023 | Duke @ Virginia N | 59–49 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-11 | 2023 | Duke @ Miami N | 85–78 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-09 | 2023 | Pittsburgh @ Duke N | 69–96 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-04 | 2023 | Duke @ North Carolina | 62–57 | regular |
| 2023-03-01 | 2023 | NC State @ Duke | 67–71 | regular |
| 2023-02-26 | 2023 | Virginia Tech @ Duke | 65–81 | regular |
| 2023-02-21 | 2023 | Louisville @ Duke | 62–79 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Duke @ Syracuse | 77–55 | regular |
| 2023-02-15 | 2023 | Notre Dame @ Duke | 64–68 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | Duke @ Virginia | 62–69 | regular |
| 2023-02-07 | 2023 | Duke @ Miami | 59–81 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Duke | 57–63 | regular |
| 2023-02-01 | 2023 | Wake Forest @ Duke | 73–75 | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | Duke @ Georgia Tech | 86–43 | regular |
| 2023-01-24 | 2023 | Duke @ Virginia Tech | 75–78 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | Miami @ Duke | 66–68 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | Duke @ Clemson | 64–72 | regular |
| 2023-01-12 | 2023 | Pittsburgh @ Duke | 69–77 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Duke @ Boston College | 65–64 | regular |
| 2023-01-05 | 2023 | Duke @ NC State | 60–84 | regular |
| 2022-12-31 | 2023 | Florida State @ Duke | 67–86 | regular |
| 2022-12-20 | 2023 | Duke @ Wake Forest | 70–81 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Maryland Eastern Shore @ Duke | 55–82 | regular |
| 2022-12-07 | 2023 | Iowa @ Duke N | 62–74 | regular |
| 2022-12-03 | 2023 | Boston College @ Duke | 59–75 | regular |
| 2022-12-01 | 2023 | Ohio State @ Duke | 72–81 | regular |
| 2022-11-27 | 2023 | Duke @ Purdue N | 56–75 | regular |
| 2022-11-25 | 2023 | Duke @ Xavier N | 71–64 | regular |
| 2022-11-24 | 2023 | Duke @ Oregon State N | 54–51 | regular |
| 2022-11-22 | 2023 | Bellarmine @ Duke | 57–74 | regular |
| 2022-11-19 | 2023 | Delaware @ Duke | 58–92 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | Duke @ Kansas N | 64–69 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | South Carolina Upstate @ Duke | 38–84 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Jacksonville @ Duke | 44–71 | regular |