Duke Blue Devils
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#1 Elite 8 (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.33 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.89 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.44 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 64.75 | possessions per game | 4.66 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 38 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 1.04 to 1.57 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 3 | 0.921 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Duke | auto |
| odds_api | Duke | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | 2026 | UConn @ Duke N | 73–72 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026 | St. John's @ Duke N | 75–80 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026 | TCU @ Duke N | 58–81 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-19 | 2026 | Siena @ Duke N | 65–71 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-15 | 2026 | Virginia @ Duke N | 70–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | Clemson @ Duke N | 61–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026 | Florida State @ Duke N | 79–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | North Carolina @ Duke | 61–76 | regular |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026 | Duke @ NC State | 93–64 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Virginia @ Duke | 51–77 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | Duke @ Notre Dame | 100–56 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Michigan @ Duke N | 63–68 | regular |
| 2026-02-17 | 2026 | Syracuse @ Duke | 64–101 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Clemson @ Duke | 54–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026 | Duke @ Pittsburgh | 70–54 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Duke @ North Carolina | 68–71 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | Boston College @ Duke | 49–67 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Duke @ Virginia Tech | 72–58 | regular |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026 | Louisville @ Duke | 52–83 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Wake Forest @ Duke | 69–90 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Duke @ Stanford | 80–50 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | Duke @ California | 71–56 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | SMU @ Duke | 75–82 | regular |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026 | Duke @ Louisville | 84–73 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Duke @ Florida State | 91–87 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Georgia Tech @ Duke | 79–85 | regular |
| 2025-12-21 | 2026 | Texas Tech @ Duke N | 82–81 | regular |
| 2025-12-16 | 2026 | Lipscomb @ Duke | 73–97 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Duke @ Michigan State | 66–60 | regular |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | Florida @ Duke | 66–67 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Duke @ Arkansas N | 80–71 | regular |
| 2025-11-23 | 2026 | Howard @ Duke | 56–93 | regular |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | Niagara @ Duke | 42–100 | regular |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026 | Kansas @ Duke N | 66–78 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Indiana State @ Duke | 62–100 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Duke @ Army | 114–59 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Western Carolina @ Duke | 54–95 | regular |
| 2025-11-05 | 2026 | Texas @ Duke N | 60–75 | regular |