Duke Blue Devils
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#2 Final Four (out) 2022
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.24 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.28 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.05 | possessions per game | 4.45 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 41 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 57.79 to 78.95 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 32 | 7 | 0.821 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Duke | auto |
| odds_api | Duke | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-03 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Duke N | 81–77 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-27 | 2022 | Arkansas @ Duke N | 69–78 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-25 | 2022 | Texas Tech @ Duke N | 73–78 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-20 | 2022 | Michigan State @ Duke N | 76–85 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-18 | 2022 | Cal State Fullerton @ Duke N | 61–78 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-13 | 2022 | Virginia Tech @ Duke N | 82–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-12 | 2022 | Miami @ Duke N | 76–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-10 | 2022 | Syracuse @ Duke N | 79–88 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-05 | 2022 | North Carolina @ Duke | 94–81 | regular |
| 2022-03-02 | 2022 | Duke @ Pittsburgh | 86–56 | regular |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | Duke @ Syracuse | 97–72 | regular |
| 2022-02-24 | 2022 | Duke @ Virginia | 65–61 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | Florida State @ Duke | 70–88 | regular |
| 2022-02-16 | 2022 | Wake Forest @ Duke | 74–76 | regular |
| 2022-02-12 | 2022 | Duke @ Boston College | 72–61 | regular |
| 2022-02-11 | 2022 | Duke @ Clemson | 82–64 | regular |
| 2022-02-08 | 2022 | Virginia @ Duke | 69–68 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | Duke @ North Carolina | 87–67 | regular |
| 2022-02-01 | 2022 | Duke @ Notre Dame | 57–43 | regular |
| 2022-01-29 | 2022 | Duke @ Louisville | 74–65 | regular |
| 2022-01-26 | 2022 | Clemson @ Duke | 69–71 | regular |
| 2022-01-22 | 2022 | Syracuse @ Duke | 59–79 | regular |
| 2022-01-19 | 2022 | Duke @ Florida State | 78–79 | regular |
| 2022-01-15 | 2022 | NC State @ Duke | 73–88 | regular |
| 2022-01-13 | 2022 | Duke @ Wake Forest | 76–64 | regular |
| 2022-01-09 | 2022 | Miami @ Duke | 76–74 | regular |
| 2022-01-05 | 2022 | Georgia Tech @ Duke | 57–69 | regular |
| 2022-01-01 | 2022 | Duke @ Notre Dame | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-12-29 | 2022 | Duke @ Clemson | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-12-23 | 2022 | Virginia Tech @ Duke | 65–76 | regular |
| 2021-12-18 | 2022 | Elon @ Duke | 56–87 | regular |
| 2021-12-17 | 2022 | App State @ Duke | 67–92 | regular |
| 2021-12-15 | 2022 | South Carolina State @ Duke | 62–103 | regular |
| 2021-12-01 | 2022 | Duke @ Ohio State | 66–71 | regular |
| 2021-11-27 | 2022 | Gonzaga @ Duke N | 81–84 | regular |
| 2021-11-23 | 2022 | The Citadel @ Duke | 81–107 | regular |
| 2021-11-20 | 2022 | Lafayette @ Duke | 55–88 | regular |
| 2021-11-17 | 2022 | Gardner-Webb @ Duke | 52–92 | regular |
| 2021-11-14 | 2022 | Campbell @ Duke | 56–67 | regular |
| 2021-11-13 | 2022 | Army @ Duke | 56–82 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | Kentucky @ Duke N | 71–79 | regular |