cbb·system

Bellarmine Knights

mens ASUN canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.26 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.03 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bellarmine AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 55.80 to 75.97 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025526 0.161

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBellarmine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-02-27 2025 Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast 61–80 regular
2025-02-25 2025 Bellarmine @ Stetson 67–69 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine 74–80 regular
2025-02-18 2025 Austin Peay @ Bellarmine 68–94 regular
2025-02-15 2025 West Georgia @ Bellarmine 81–76 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Queens University @ Bellarmine 92–87 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Bellarmine @ Jacksonville 64–73 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Bellarmine @ North Florida 88–95 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Bellarmine @ Lipscomb 80–87 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Bellarmine @ Austin Peay 77–86 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Stetson @ Bellarmine 81–76 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine 77–61 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky 69–72 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Lipscomb @ Bellarmine 87–53 regular
2025-01-11 2025 North Florida @ Bellarmine 98–83 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Jacksonville @ Bellarmine 74–59 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas 65–71 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Bellarmine @ North Alabama 66–82 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Bellarmine @ Colorado 55–79 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Bellarmine @ Wyoming 55–92 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Ball State @ Bellarmine 86–82 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Brescia @ Bellarmine 66–94 non_d1
2024-12-05 2025 Bellarmine @ Western Carolina 74–86 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Bellarmine @ Northern Kentucky 70–86 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Midway University @ Bellarmine 60–101 non_d1
2024-11-23 2025 Bowling Green @ Bellarmine 68–80 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Bellarmine @ Louisville 68–100 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Bellarmine @ Marshall 62–83 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Southern Indiana @ Bellarmine 71–69 regular
2024-11-09 2025 VMI @ Bellarmine 76–71 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Bellarmine @ VCU 65–84 regular