cbb·system

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.78 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.25 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.71 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Asheville AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.68 to 0.24 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241120 0.355

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUNC Asheville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-07 2024 UNC Asheville @ High Point 57–70 conf_tournament
2024-03-06 2024 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb N 75–74 conf_tournament
2024-03-02 2024 Radford @ UNC Asheville 55–54 regular
2024-02-24 2024 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb 65–80 regular
2024-02-21 2024 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 66–60 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville 63–68 regular
2024-02-14 2024 UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian 42–59 regular
2024-02-10 2024 South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville 71–65 regular
2024-02-08 2024 UNC Asheville @ High Point 54–62 regular
2024-02-03 2024 UNC Asheville @ Winthrop 56–65 regular
2024-01-31 2024 Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville 58–72 regular
2024-01-27 2024 UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern 62–59 regular
2024-01-25 2024 UNC Asheville @ Radford 46–59 regular
2024-01-17 2024 Winthrop @ UNC Asheville 70–64 regular
2024-01-13 2024 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 69–61 regular
2024-01-10 2024 High Point @ UNC Asheville 64–50 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville 55–46 regular
2024-01-04 2024 UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate 44–71 regular
2023-12-29 2024 Brevard @ UNC Asheville 34–72 non_d1
2023-12-21 2024 UNC Greensboro @ UNC Asheville 71–72 regular
2023-12-18 2024 North Carolina Central @ UNC Asheville 65–63 regular
2023-12-15 2024 UNC Asheville @ East Tennessee State 51–60 regular
2023-12-10 2024 UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina 59–48 regular
2023-12-06 2024 Warren Wilson @ UNC Asheville 33–88 non_d1
2023-11-30 2024 UNC Asheville @ Wofford 54–63 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Western Michigan @ UNC Asheville N 58–54 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Morgan State @ UNC Asheville N 53–51 regular
2023-11-21 2024 Queens University @ UNC Asheville 53–67 regular
2023-11-14 2024 UNC Asheville @ Charlotte 51–67 regular
2023-11-12 2024 Tennessee State @ UNC Asheville 38–53 regular
2023-11-08 2024 UNC Asheville @ Furman 61–71 regular