cbb·system

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.26 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.11 possessions per game 4.38

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Asheville AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.50 to 1.12 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221022 0.312

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUNC Asheville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-06 2022 UNC Asheville @ Longwood N 56–81 conf_tournament
2022-03-04 2022 UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate N 62–57 conf_tournament
2022-03-02 2022 UNC Asheville @ North Carolina A&T N 68–59 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville 43–63 regular
2022-02-24 2022 UNC Asheville @ High Point 62–74 regular
2022-02-19 2022 South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville 68–57 regular
2022-02-16 2022 UNC Asheville @ Radford 62–79 regular
2022-02-12 2022 UNC Asheville @ Hampton 52–61 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Hampton @ UNC Asheville 75–58 regular
2022-02-08 2022 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb 68–80 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville 89–77 regular
2022-02-03 2022 UNC Asheville @ Campbell 60–70 regular
2022-01-29 2022 UNC Asheville @ Winthrop 54–75 regular
2022-01-25 2022 North Carolina A&T @ UNC Asheville 75–68 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville 69–54 regular
2022-01-18 2022 High Point @ UNC Asheville 61–57 regular
2022-01-16 2022 UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern 59–47 regular
2022-01-12 2022 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb postponed regular
2022-01-08 2022 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 76–72 regular
2022-01-06 2022 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 57–62 regular
2022-01-01 2022 UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate 53–66 regular
2021-12-29 2022 Radford @ UNC Asheville 60–69 regular
2021-12-20 2022 UNC Asheville @ Chattanooga 51–62 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Austin Peay @ UNC Asheville 76–50 regular
2021-12-12 2022 UNC Asheville @ North Carolina 46–107 regular
2021-12-10 2022 UNC Asheville @ East Tennessee State 66–56 regular
2021-12-01 2022 Warren Wilson @ UNC Asheville 36–100 non_d1
2021-11-28 2022 App State @ UNC Asheville 71–56 regular
2021-11-23 2022 UNC Asheville @ Wofford 70–64 regular
2021-11-20 2022 UNC Asheville @ Furman 49–64 regular
2021-11-15 2022 Mars Hill @ UNC Asheville 38–71 non_d1
2021-11-13 2022 UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina 74–72 regular
2021-11-09 2022 UNC Asheville @ UNC Greensboro 48–52 regular