cbb·system

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.75 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.28 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.88 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Asheville AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.42 to 1.08 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUNC Asheville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-02 2023 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb N 58–82 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Winthrop @ UNC Asheville N 58–59 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 59–50 regular
2023-02-22 2023 UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern 65–55 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb 58–82 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Radford @ UNC Asheville 49–52 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville 76–73 regular
2023-02-08 2023 UNC Asheville @ Winthrop 65–59 regular
2023-02-04 2023 South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville 65–68 regular
2023-02-02 2023 UNC Asheville @ High Point 64–51 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Campbell @ UNC Asheville 54–44 regular
2023-01-25 2023 UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian 53–67 regular
2023-01-21 2023 UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate 55–66 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville 40–43 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville 76–45 regular
2023-01-12 2023 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 65–75 regular
2023-01-07 2023 UNC Asheville @ Campbell 40–64 regular
2023-01-04 2023 High Point @ UNC Asheville 71–55 regular
2023-01-02 2023 Winthrop @ UNC Asheville 48–54 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Winthrop @ UNC Asheville postponed regular
2022-12-29 2023 UNC Asheville @ Radford 42–69 regular
2022-12-21 2023 UNC Asheville @ Austin Peay 51–64 regular
2022-12-19 2023 Wofford @ UNC Asheville 79–67 regular
2022-12-17 2023 East Tennessee State @ UNC Asheville 64–52 regular
2022-12-11 2023 UNC Asheville @ Virginia Tech 48–86 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Furman @ UNC Asheville 65–64 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Warren Wilson @ UNC Asheville 40–89 non_d1
2022-11-28 2023 Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville 51–64 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Chattanooga @ UNC Asheville 60–48 regular
2022-11-19 2023 UNC Asheville @ Queens University 68–57 regular
2022-11-13 2023 UNC Asheville @ Florida 40–86 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Converse @ UNC Asheville 25–79 non_d1