cbb·system

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.56 possessions per game 4.80

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Asheville AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 52.74 to 157.11 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201614 0.533

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUNC Asheville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 UNC Asheville @ High Point N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-10 2020 Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville 46–82 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 UNC Asheville @ High Point 62–89 regular
2020-03-04 2020 Radford @ UNC Asheville 73–66 regular
2020-02-26 2020 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb 55–85 regular
2020-02-22 2020 South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville 45–53 regular
2020-02-19 2020 UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern 54–56 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Winthrop @ UNC Asheville 55–65 regular
2020-02-11 2020 UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian 64–48 regular
2020-02-08 2020 UNC Asheville @ Campbell 52–59 regular
2020-02-04 2020 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 54–51 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Hampton @ UNC Asheville 76–66 regular
2020-01-29 2020 UNC Asheville @ Winthrop 50–43 regular
2020-01-25 2020 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 56–73 regular
2020-01-21 2020 Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville 65–59 regular
2020-01-14 2020 Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville 60–48 regular
2020-01-11 2020 UNC Asheville @ Radford 63–50 regular
2020-01-09 2020 High Point @ UNC Asheville 60–76 regular
2020-01-06 2020 UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate 68–48 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Campbell @ UNC Asheville 52–60 regular
2019-12-31 2020 UNC Asheville @ Hampton 59–68 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville 39–54 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Southern @ UNC Asheville N 34–53 regular
2019-12-20 2020 UNC Asheville @ Miami 46–75 regular
2019-12-15 2020 UNC Asheville @ Wofford 38–75 regular
2019-12-08 2020 South Carolina State @ UNC Asheville 51–82 regular
2019-12-02 2020 Montreat @ UNC Asheville 45–89 non_d1
2019-11-29 2020 UNC Greensboro @ UNC Asheville 67–40 regular
2019-11-24 2020 UNC Asheville @ East Tennessee State 72–54 regular
2019-11-18 2020 UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina 64–47 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Lenoir Rhyne @ UNC Asheville 48–68 non_d1