cbb·system

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.76 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.26 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.57 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Asheville AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 57.95 to 123.79 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261218 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUNC Asheville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-06 2026 UNC Asheville @ Longwood N 58–72 conf_tournament
2026-02-25 2026 UNC Asheville @ Winthrop 64–59 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville 58–76 regular
2026-02-18 2026 High Point @ UNC Asheville 60–55 regular
2026-02-14 2026 UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate 63–57 regular
2026-02-11 2026 Radford @ UNC Asheville 73–45 regular
2026-02-07 2026 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 60–72 regular
2026-02-04 2026 UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern 60–48 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville 54–52 regular
2026-01-23 2026 UNC Asheville @ Radford 52–64 regular
2026-01-21 2026 South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville 56–57 regular
2026-01-17 2026 UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian 64–53 regular
2026-01-14 2026 Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville 72–66 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 67–58 regular
2026-01-08 2026 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb 62–51 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Winthrop @ UNC Asheville 59–55 regular
2025-12-31 2026 UNC Asheville @ High Point 51–78 regular
2025-12-29 2026 Brevard @ UNC Asheville 31–84 non_d1
2025-12-17 2026 Simmons (KY) @ UNC Asheville 39–94 non_d1
2025-12-14 2026 UNC Asheville @ East Carolina 61–75 regular
2025-12-12 2026 UNC Asheville @ East Tennessee State 53–63 regular
2025-12-06 2026 North Florida @ UNC Asheville 76–61 regular
2025-12-03 2026 South Carolina State @ UNC Asheville 58–64 regular
2025-11-29 2026 UNC Asheville @ Furman 67–74 regular
2025-11-25 2026 Wofford @ UNC Asheville 80–54 regular
2025-11-22 2026 App State @ UNC Asheville 64–40 regular
2025-11-19 2026 UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina 67–50 regular
2025-11-13 2026 UNC Asheville @ North Carolina Central 53–66 regular
2025-11-06 2026 Warren Wilson @ UNC Asheville 44–108 non_d1
2025-11-03 2026 Mercer @ UNC Asheville 48–39 regular