cbb·system

Arizona Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.77 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.25 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.70 possessions per game 4.91

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.51 to 1.64 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192413 0.649

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArizona auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-04-06 2019 Northwestern @ Arizona 42–56 other_postseason
2019-04-04 2019 TCU @ Arizona 53–59 other_postseason
2019-03-31 2019 Wyoming @ Arizona 45–67 other_postseason
2019-03-29 2019 Idaho @ Arizona 60–68 other_postseason
2019-03-24 2019 Pacific @ Arizona 48–64 other_postseason
2019-03-22 2019 Idaho State @ Arizona 56–66 other_postseason
2019-03-08 2019 Arizona @ Oregon N 63–77 conf_tournament
2019-03-07 2019 USC @ Arizona N 48–76 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Oregon State @ Arizona 65–60 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Oregon @ Arizona 83–54 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Arizona @ California 76–82 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Arizona @ Stanford 54–56 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Colorado @ Arizona 51–63 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Utah @ Arizona 55–66 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Arizona @ Washington State 88–90 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Arizona @ Washington 69–59 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Arizona @ Arizona State 47–60 regular
2019-01-27 2019 UCLA @ Arizona 98–93 regular
2019-01-26 2019 USC @ Arizona 68–71 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Arizona @ Oregon 60–93 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Arizona @ Oregon State 64–86 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Stanford @ Arizona 78–48 regular
2019-01-12 2019 California @ Arizona 55–60 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Arizona @ Utah 64–80 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Arizona @ Colorado 69–67 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Arizona State @ Arizona 39–51 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Northern Arizona @ Arizona 47–71 regular
2018-12-18 2019 UTEP @ Arizona 40–62 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Arizona @ Long Beach State 70–43 regular
2018-12-05 2019 Montana @ Arizona 51–100 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Arizona @ San Diego State 69–60 regular
2018-11-28 2019 Incarnate Word @ Arizona 42–84 regular
2018-11-24 2019 South Carolina State @ Arizona 32–73 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Portland @ Arizona N 70–92 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Arizona @ Seattle U N 84–54 regular
2018-11-14 2019 Loyola Marymount @ Arizona 66–64 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Idaho State @ Arizona 46–71 regular