cbb·system

Arizona Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.74 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.32 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.53 possessions per game 4.60

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.39 to 1.01 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020247 0.774

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArizona auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 Arizona @ Oregon N 70–88 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 California @ Arizona N 73–86 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 California @ Arizona 55–54 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Stanford @ Arizona 72–73 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Arizona @ Colorado 38–50 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Arizona @ Utah 85–69 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Washington State @ Arizona 57–72 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Washington @ Arizona 53–64 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Arizona @ Oregon State 65–58 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Arizona @ Oregon 52–85 regular
2020-02-02 2020 USC @ Arizona 57–73 regular
2020-02-01 2020 UCLA @ Arizona 66–92 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Arizona State @ Arizona 53–59 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Arizona @ Washington 66–58 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Arizona @ Washington State 74–67 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Oregon @ Arizona 71–64 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Oregon State @ Arizona 63–61 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Arizona @ UCLA 58–70 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Arizona @ USC 65–57 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Arizona @ Arizona State 58–53 regular
2019-12-21 2020 UC Santa Barbara @ Arizona 42–61 regular
2019-12-13 2020 Tennessee State @ Arizona 42–77 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Arizona @ UTEP 54–43 regular
2019-12-03 2020 Monmouth @ Arizona 34–86 regular
2019-11-29 2020 UC Riverside @ Arizona 27–70 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Arizona @ Montana 77–42 regular
2019-11-20 2020 Prairie View A&M @ Arizona 48–83 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Arizona @ Texas 83–58 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Arizona @ Chicago State 82–50 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Santa Clara @ Arizona 52–65 regular
2019-11-06 2020 North Dakota @ Arizona 42–74 regular