cbb·system

Arizona Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.17
PACE 65.31 possessions per game 5.03

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.18 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014525 0.167

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArizona auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-06 2014 Arizona @ USC N 54–59 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Arizona @ Oregon 78–90 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Arizona @ Oregon State 48–78 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Colorado @ Arizona 61–56 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Utah @ Arizona 52–47 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Arizona @ Stanford 48–74 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Arizona @ California 49–65 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Arizona State @ Arizona 49–68 regular
2014-02-05 2014 Arizona @ Arizona State 36–60 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Oregon State @ Arizona 64–50 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Oregon @ Arizona 84–72 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Arizona @ Utah 57–60 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Arizona @ Colorado 47–68 regular
2014-01-20 2014 California @ Arizona 79–64 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Stanford @ Arizona 96–52 regular
2014-01-12 2014 USC @ Arizona 54–45 regular
2014-01-11 2014 UCLA @ Arizona 67–61 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Arizona @ Washington State 59–61 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Arizona @ Washington 52–55 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Arizona 54–67 regular
2013-12-22 2014 UC Riverside @ Arizona 59–75 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Texas Tech @ Arizona 56–65 regular
2013-12-06 2014 Arizona @ UAB 53–63 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Arizona @ BYU 56–64 regular
2013-11-26 2014 Wake Forest @ Arizona 70–58 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Arizona @ Pacific 66–75 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Stephen F. Austin @ Arizona 60–56 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Arizona @ UC Santa Barbara 51–49 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Michigan @ Arizona N 73–71 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Arizona @ Iona 75–82 regular