cbb·system

Arizona Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.48 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 60.40 to 83.45 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151020 0.333

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArizona auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-05 2015 Arizona @ UCLA N 62–80 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Utah @ Arizona 41–64 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Colorado @ Arizona 66–51 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Arizona @ UCLA 41–75 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Arizona @ USC 51–77 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Arizona @ Oregon State 48–73 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Arizona @ Oregon 61–75 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Stanford @ Arizona 57–60 regular
2015-02-07 2015 California @ Arizona 65–46 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Arizona @ Colorado 69–81 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Arizona @ Utah 48–62 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Oregon @ Arizona 78–81 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Oregon State @ Arizona 73–55 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Arizona @ California 56–68 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Arizona @ Stanford 47–77 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Arizona @ Arizona State 54–71 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Arizona State @ Arizona 88–41 regular
2015-01-06 2015 Washington @ Arizona 79–69 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Washington State @ Arizona 81–70 regular
2014-12-30 2015 UT Martin @ Arizona 56–61 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Arizona @ Stephen F. Austin 60–72 regular
2014-12-14 2015 UAB @ Arizona 44–49 regular
2014-12-12 2015 Southern @ Arizona 45–56 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Arizona @ Wake Forest 72–69 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Grambling @ Arizona 51–65 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Toledo @ Arizona N 69–54 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Arizona @ Florida International 65–58 regular
2014-11-25 2015 UC Santa Barbara @ Arizona 34–61 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Arizona @ Texas Tech 54–57 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Cal State Bakersfield @ Arizona 76–72 regular